Polling Canada ​

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Federal Polling:

LPC: 46% (+2)
CPC: 35% (-6
NDP: 7% (+1)
BQ: 7% (+1)
GPC: 3% (+2)
PPC: 1% (-)

Abacus / March 11, 2026 / n=1667 / Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: https://338canada.com

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Alberta Provincial Polling:

UCP: 48% (-5)
NDP: 36% (-8)
ABP: 5% (+4)
GPA: 4% (+3)
ALP: 3% (+3)
WLC: 1% (+1)
Others: 2%

Leger / March 4, 2026 / n=805 / Online

(% Change With 2023 Election)

Check out AB model details from @338Canada here: http://338canada.com/alberta

Alberta - Support for Independence:

🔴 Remain: 70%
🔵 Independence: 17%

⚫️ Join The US: 4%

Leger / March 4, 2026

"Should Canada continue as a constitutional monarchy for generations to come?"

No: 47%
Yes: 29%

Unsure: 24%

Angus Reid / Feb 26, 2026

Support For Removing Prince Andrew From The Line Of Royal Succession:

Support: 84%
Oppose: 7%

Angus Reid / Feb 26, 2026

Mark Carney Approval Polling In:

Atlantic Canada:
🟢 Approve: 71%
⚫️ Disapprove: 23%

Saskatchewan/Manitoba:
🟢 Approve: 56%
⚫️ Disapprove: 37%

British Columbia:
🟢 Approve: 58%
⚫️ Disapprove: 36%

Liaison / March 7, 2026

Most Important Issue:

Jobs/Economy: 18%
Trump/US Relations: 17%
Inflation: 11%
Healthcare: 8%
Immigration: 5%
Housing: 4%
Environment: 3%
National Security: 3%
National Unity: 3%
Debt/Deficit 3%

Nanos / March 6, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

Preferred Prime Minister Polling:

Carney: 57% (+1)
Poilievre: 22% (-)
May: 3% (-)
Blanchet: 2% (-1)
Davies: 2% (-)
Bernier: 2% (-)

Unsure: 13%

Nanos / March 6, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change With February 27, 2026)

Alberta - Leader Net-Favourables:

Carney: +3%
Poilievre: +3%
Trump: -57%

Abacus / Feb 25, 2026 / n=1000 / Online

Alberta - Federal Government Approval:

Approve: 41%
Disapprove: 38%
Net: +3%

Abacus / Feb 25, 2026 / n=1000 / Online

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Federal Polling:

LPC: 46% (+2)
CPC: 31% (-10)
NDP: 10% (+4)
BQ: 5% (-1)
Others: 8%

Spark Insights / March 6, 2026 / n=3055 / Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: https://338canada.com

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Alberta Federal Polling:

CPC: 51% (-13)
LPC: 36% (+8)
NDP: 7% (+1)
PPC: 2% (+1)
GPC: 1% (+1)
Others: 2%

Abacus / Feb 25, 2026 / n=1000 / Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: https://338canada.com

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Alberta Provincial Polling:

UCP: 49% (-9)
NDP: 36% (-8)
ALP: 9% (+9)
ABP: 2% (+1)
Others: 2%

Abacus / Feb 25, 2026 / n=1000 / Online

(% Change With 2023 Election)

Check out AB model details from @338Canada here: http://338canada.com/alberta

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Federal Polling:

LPC: 49% (+5)
CPC: 35% (-6)
BQ: 5% (-1)
NDP: 5% (-1)
GPC: 3% (+2)
Others: 2%

Leger / March 2, 2026 / n=1435 / Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com

Leader Net-Approval Polling:

🔴 Carney: +25%
⚜️ Blanchet (QC): +4%

🟠 Davies: -6%
🟢 May: -7%
🔵 Poilievre: -7%
🟣 Bernier: -27%

Ipsos / Feb 26, 2026

"Should Canada have another federal election in 2026?"

No: 44%
Yes: 37%

Ipsos / Feb 26, 2026

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Federal Polling:

LPC: 44% (-)
CPC: 36% (-5)
NDP: 8% (+2)
BQ: 7% (+1)
GPC: 3% (+2)
PPC: 1% (-)

Ipsos / Feb 26, 2026 / n=826 / Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com

Most Important Issue:

Jobs/Economy: 17% (-)
Trump/US Relations: 17% (-)
Inflation: 11% (-3)
Healthcare: 8% (-)
Immigration: 5% (+1)
Housing: 4% (+1)
Environment: 3% (-1)
National Security: 3% (-)
National Unity: 3% (-)
World Peace: 2% (-)

Nanos / February 27, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change With February 20, 2026)

Preferred Prime Minister Polling:

Carney: 56% (+2)
Poilievre: 22% (-1)
Blanchet: 3% (-)
May: 3% (-)
Bernier: 3% (+1)
Davies: 2% (-)

Unsure: 12%

Nanos / February 27, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change With February 20, 2026)

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Federal Polling:

LPC: 44% (-)
CPC: 33% (-8)
NDP: 11% (+5)
BQ: 5% (-1)
GPC: 5% (+4)
PPC: 1% (-)

Nanos / Feb 27, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com

"Which is closer to your view?"

Time For A Change - There's A Good Alternative: 39%
Time For A Change - There's No Good Alternative: 23%

Re-elect the Liberals: 37%

Abacus / Feb 23, 2026 / n=1500 / Online

"Are you concerned about the US being a potential threat to Canada's sovereignty?"

Concerned: 64%
Not Concerned: 19%
Neutral: 17%

Nanos / Feb 4, 2026

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Federal Polling:

LPC: 38% (-6)
CPC: 37% (-4)
NDP: 11% (+5)
BQ: 8% (+2)
GPC: 4% (+3)
PPC: 1% (-)

Nanos / Feb 13, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com

Mark Carney Approval Polling:

🟢 Approve: 63%
⚫️ Disapprove: 32%

Liaison / Feb 14, 2026

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Federal Polling:

LPC: 43% (-1)
CPC: 34% (-7)
NDP: 10% (+4)
BQ: 6% (-)
GPC: 2% (+1)
PPC: 2% (+1)
Others: 2%

Liaison / Feb 14, 2026 / n=948 / MOE 3.1% / IVR

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com

"Which is closest to your view?"

Re-Elect The Liberals: 37%

Time For A Change - There's A Good Alternative: 27%
Time For A Change - There's No Good Alternative: 26%

Abacus / Feb 10, 2026

Leader Net-Approval Polling:

Carney: +22%
Poilievre: -7%

Abacus / Feb 10, 2026

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Federal Polling:

LPC: 44% (-)
CPC: 37% (-4)
NDP: 8% (+2)
BQ: 6% (-)
GPC: 3% (+2)
PPC: 1% (-)

Abacus / Feb 10, 2026 / n=1915 / Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: https://338canada.com

Most Important Issue:

Jobs/Economy: 19% (+2)
Trump/US Relations: 18% (-)
Inflation: 12% (+1)
Healthcare: 6% (+1)
Immigration: 5% (+1)
Environment: 5% (-)
National Security: 4% (-1)
Housing: 3% (-1)
World Peace: 2% (+1)
Debt/Deficit: 1% (-1)

Nanos / February 6, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change With January 30, 2026)

Preferred Prime Minister Polling:

Carney: 53% (-1)
Poilievre: 24% (-1)
Blanchet: 4% (-)
Davies: 3% (-1)
Bernier: 2% (-)
May: 1% (-)

Unsure: 12%

Nanos / February 6, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change With January 30, 2026)

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Federal Polling:

LPC: 39% (-5)
CPC: 35% (-6)
NDP: 13% (+7)
BQ: 9% (+3)
GPC: 3% (+2)
PPC: 1% (-)

Nanos / Feb 6, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com

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Federal Polling:

LPC: 40% (-4)
CPC: 38% (-3)
NDP: 10% (+4)
BQ: 7% (+1)
GPC: 3% (+2)
Others: 2%

Innovative / Feb 2, 2026 / n=1305 / Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: http://338canada.com

Carney's Net-Approval Among The Oldest Canadians:

🟢 Liaison: +41%
🟢 Leger: +34%
🟢 Abacus: +34%
🟢 Angus Reid: +32%

Read it for free here: https://canadianpolling.substack.com/p/a-prime-minister-canadians-actually

Leader Net-Favourables:

Carney: +21%
Blanchet (QC): +6%

Davies: -4%
Poilievre: -6%

Innovative / Feb 2, 2026

Among those who saw/heard Carney's Davos speech

Innovative finds 60% of Canadians view Carney and the federal government more favourably because of the speech

Similarly, Pollara finds 59% saying the speech made them more favourable towards Carney, including 30% of Conservatives

"Do you support or oppose the recent Canadian trade deal with China that reduces tariffs on canola oil and allows Chinese electric cars into the Canadian market?"

🟢 Support: 67%
🔴 Oppose: 28%

- Mainstreet -

Read more for free here: https://canadianpolling.substack.com/p/canadians-hostility-towards-beijing

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Alberta Provincial Polling:

UCP: 50% (-3)
NDP: 37% (-7)
ABP: 4% (+3)
ALP: 2% (+2)
RPA: 2% (New)
GPA: 1% (-)
WLC: 1% (+1)
Others: 3%

Leger / Jan 26, 2026 / n=823 / Online

(% Change With 2023 Election)

Check out AB model details from @338Canada here: http://338canada.com/alberta

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Federal Polling:

LPC: 51% (+7)
CPC: 36% (-5)
BQ: 6% (-)
NDP: 4% (-2)
GPC: 2% (+1)
PPC: 1% (-)
Others: 1%

Mainstreet / Feb 2, 2026 / n=1240 / MOE 2.7% / IVR

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: https://338canada.com

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Quebec Provincial Polling:

PQ: 32% (+17)
PLQ: 26% (+12)
CAQ: 17% (-24)
PCQ: 14% (+1)
QS: 7% (-8)

Leger / Jan 29, 2026 / n=838 / Online

(% Change With 2022 Election)

Check out QC details from @338Canada here: http://338canada.com/quebec

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Federal Polling:

LPC: 43% (-1)
CPC: 39% (-2)
NDP: 8% (+2)
BQ: 6% (-)
GPC: 2% (+1)
PPC: 2% (+1)

Abacus / Jan 27, 2026 / n=2201 / Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338Canada for polling details: https://338canada.com