davekarpf

Elon Musk's grand electoral ploy is to commit a bunch of blatant election-law crimes.

Because Elon Musk thinks laws are for little people.

https://open.substack.com/pub/davekarpf/p/turns-out-the-october-surprise-is?r=eeyg&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true

Some guy in The Atlantic is making fun of Sam Altman today.

(It’s me. The guy making fun of Sam Altman in The Atlantic is me.)

https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2024/10/sam-altman-mythmaking/680152/

Quick debate thoughts:

The Trump-Vance campaign strategy is basically to gaslight the country. Vance couldn't *quite* pull it off.

This format is about as good as JD Vance is ever going to look. And in the end, he just couldn't maintain the facade.

https://open.substack.com/pub/davekarpf/p/jd-vance-couldnt-quite-gaslight-the?r=eeyg&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true

Yascha Mounk has some *opinions* about "where environmentalism went wrong."

I, meanwhile, have some *opinions* about Yascha Mounk's brand of zero-research/zero-insight political commentary.

https://open.substack.com/pub/davekarpf/p/the-climate-movement-really-does?r=eeyg&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true

My latest, for Foreign Policy, reviewing what Nate Silver gets wrong about risk in his latest book.

https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/09/20/on-the-edge-book-review-nate-silver-risk/

@ianb@mastodon.well.com @heresiarch@mastodon.ie 🙏thanks so much, Ian. Glad you enjoyed the piece!

I have some thoughts on Paul Graham's latest essay, "Founder Mode."

Paul Graham founded YCombinator. His singular influence has been to drive Silicon Valley toward producing endless Sam Altmans and zero Aaron Swartzs.

Every time he speaks, we are all worse off.

https://open.substack.com/pub/davekarpf/p/paul-graham-and-the-cult-of-the-founder?r=eeyg&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true

Nobody wins a Presidential election in September.

Debates usually have limited-duration impact.

But last night's win could have longer-term repercussions. Kamala Harris rung Donald Trump's bell, and Trump is so undisciplined that he might never find his footing.

https://open.substack.com/pub/davekarpf/p/kamala-harris-could-do-this-all-day?r=eeyg&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true

I have some simple suggestions for how the American Political Science Association can solve its Claremont Institute problem. #APSA2024

https://open.substack.com/pub/davekarpf/p/how-do-you-solve-a-problem-like-claremont?r=eeyg&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true

The American Political Science Association has some explaining to do. #APSA2024

https://open.substack.com/pub/davekarpf/p/what-is-the-claremont-institute-doing?r=eeyg&utm_medium=ios