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Richard McElreath 🦔

@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de
mastodon 4.5.9

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

0 Followers
0 Following
Joined November 05, 2022
Work:
https://www.eva.mpg.de/ecology/staff/richard-mcelreath/
Blog:
https://elevanth.org/blog/
Lectures/courses:
https://www.youtube.com/@rmcelreath
Nonsense:
https://twitter.com/rlmcelreath

Posts

Open post
rlmcelreath
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
Richard McElreath 🦔
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de · Aug 26, 2024

Due to a detour this tour yesterday ended up longer than planned. A good adventure along the old Saale-Leipzig canal

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Open post
In reply to
rlmcelreath
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
Richard McElreath 🦔
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de · Aug 24, 2024
paper mentioned in the video: https://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kws412
View full thread on nerdculture.de
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Open post
rlmcelreath
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
Richard McElreath 🦔
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de · Aug 24, 2024

As a sparkly citizen of the world, you must defend yourself against research. You need it, but you can't assume peer review works. But a little knowledge goes a long way. Here is a 15 min video of me explaining one of the most common fallacies, "TABLE 2": https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uanZZLlzKHw&t=4307s

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Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 06 - Good & Bad Controls
YouTube

Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 06 - Good & Bad Controls

Richard McElreath

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Open post
rlmcelreath
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
Richard McElreath 🦔
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de · Aug 12, 2024

"She [Margaret Watts Hughes] began to wonder what would happen if she placed a small heap of wet color paste instead of powder at the center of the diaphragm and covered it with a glass plate, singing different sustained notes into the eidophone." https://www.themarginalian.org/2024/08/08/margaret-watts-hughes-voice-figures/

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Your Voice Is a Garden: Margaret Watts Hughes’s Wondrous Victorian Sound Visualizations
The Marginalian

Your Voice Is a Garden: Margaret Watts Hughes’s Wondrous Victorian Sound Visualizations

“I hear bravuras of birds… I hear the sound I love, the sound of the human voice,” Walt Whitman exulted in his ode to the “puzzle of puzzles” we call Being. How puzzli…

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Open post
rlmcelreath
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
Richard McElreath 🦔
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de · Jul 29, 2024

Hagoromo (羽衣 Feather Mantle) is a 16th century Japanese play about a humble fisherman who finds the feather dress of a heavenly being. This is what it is like to use Hagoromo Fulltouch chalk. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORVxbsdkCM

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Why Hagoromo Chalk Is So Expensive | So Expensive | Business Insider
YouTube

Why Hagoromo Chalk Is So Expensive | So Expensive | Business Insider

Business Insider

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Open post
In reply to
rlmcelreath
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
Richard McElreath 🦔
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de · Jul 26, 2024
@dave_decker Thanks for the kind review, and also for details of how you used the book. I really do need to have complete code for plotting and everything else in every example for the next edition. Maybe not in text itself, but in separate notebooks maybe.
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Open post
rlmcelreath
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
Richard McElreath 🦔
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de · Jul 22, 2024

@DataAngler@vis.social I think this is an RStudio bug that hits numerous packages. Use the ordinary Terminal app instead of RStudio and see if that helps?

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vis.social

Sam Van Horne, Ph.D. (@DataAngler@vis.social) - vis.social

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Open post
rlmcelreath
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
Richard McElreath 🦔
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de · Jul 22, 2024

wut

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Open post
rlmcelreath
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
Richard McElreath 🦔
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de · Jul 20, 2024

sometimes kind people drag me out of my house to ride the wheels - highly recommended

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Open post
rlmcelreath
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
Richard McElreath 🦔
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de · Jul 16, 2024

The International Society for Bayesian Analysis tells me Statistical Rethinking has won the 2024 DeGroot Prize for its contributions to "statistical inference, decision theory and statistical applications". This is huge honor especially given the previous winners who have influenced me so much. Book details: https://xcelab.net/rm/

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xcelab.net
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Open post
rlmcelreath
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
Richard McElreath 🦔
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de · Jun 23, 2024

Looking for a mind-growing distraction? How about my 3 part intro to Bayesian causal inference. It's like a condensed version of my book, 10 weeks of causal computation in 3 short blog posts. Take with plenty of water. https://elevanth.org/blog/2021/06/15/regression-fire-and-dangerous-things-1-3/

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Regression, Fire, and Dangerous Things (1/3)
Elements of Evolutionary Anthropology

Regression, Fire, and Dangerous Things (1/3)

It isn't my job to disappoint people, but I'm good at it.

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Open post
rlmcelreath
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
Richard McElreath 🦔
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de · Jun 18, 2024

StanCon is still happening in September. Have you considered the probabilistic dividends? The keynote speakers will cover everything from disease to drugs to sharks. Bayesian Sharks (doo-doo, doo-doo, doo-doo). https://mc-stan.org/events/stancon2024/

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mc-stan.org

Redirecting…

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Open post
rlmcelreath
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
Richard McElreath 🦔
Richard McElreath 🦔
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de

Anthropologist, telling anyone who will listen that, if we are very careful and try very hard, we might not completely mislead ourselves. Leipzig.

nerdculture.de
@rlmcelreath@nerdculture.de · Jun 10, 2024

icymi while you were having a nice life: 20 mins of me explaining fixed and random effects in the context of group confounding, with coded examples of Bayesian implementations. Link cued to start of relevant part https://youtu.be/iwVqiiXYeC4?list=PLDcUM9US4XdPz-KxHM4XHt7uUVGWWVSus&t=3287

View on nerdculture.de
Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 12 - Multilevel Models
YouTube

Statistical Rethinking 2023 - 12 - Multilevel Models

Richard McElreath

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